Mass Shootings and Suburbanization

Whenever a mass shooting occurs, public opinion focuses on one of three things: guns, video games, or mental illness. Where and how we live, a prominent aspect of our culture, is rarely discussed in relation to increasing violent tendencies.

Most mass shootings have occurred in suburbs or small towns, not in cities. This includes the Virginia Tech shooting, Columbine High School, and most recently, Newtown, CT. A recent study by the Brookings Institute showed that as the crime rate for inner cities is decreasing, the crime rate for suburban areas is increasing.  

Likewise, poverty is shifting from the inner cities to the suburbs. This is due to both the special severity of the financial crisis in account of the pervasiveness of mortgages, and the fact that suburban living is highly decentralized and infrastructure intensive, and thus has higher living costs.

The ways suburbs are planned and built runs contrary to the ways the built environment is intended to work for people. Jane Jacobs notes how shared and varied land uses promote use of outdoor space and socialization with other users of that space. This goes for adults as well as children, as she notes that when children play on sidewalks or in alleys they are indirectly protected by public surveillance of the streets.

This is a process that is not allowed to occur in suburbs chiefly because land is segregated by use. There is no incentive for those who live in residential neighborhoods to survey their streets because nothing of interest is taking place on them. Likewise, residents of suburbs are also less likely to use sidewalks on their streets because of the lack of destinations reachable on foot and the fact that fences have been erected around yards, prohibiting residents from interacting with each other via streets.

In addition to this, a growing amount of research is being done on the mental health effects of pollution and traffic congestion. An article in the Wall Street Journal notes that research has found possible links between air pollution and Altzheimer's, Parkinson's, and Autism, as well as increased levels of stress. Traffic congestion has also been linked to increases in stress.  

This stress, combined with the few opportunities for socialization provided by suburban life and the easy access to weapons in American society no doubt contribute to our high rates of gun violence and mass shootings. If mass shootings are a problem we wish to address responsibly and permanently, we need to look at the way we live and how it shapes us.

An Evaluation of Moving to Opportunity

The subject of this post is a 2001 study by Mark Shroder which explores the results of the Department of Housing and Urban Development's Moving to Opportunity (MTO) program. The program is an experimental implementation of Chicago's Gautreaux Project on a national scale.

The intent of the Gautreaux Project was to allow families living in low income neighborhoods and public housing developments to relocate to higher income neighborhoods in an attempt to better their socioeconomic status. This was initiated after the 1966 court case Dorothy Gautreaux v. Chicago Housing Authority ordered the Chicago Housing Authority to take steps to end segregation in public housing.

This project involved moving participating low income residents from inner-city areas to suburban areas, where neighborhood economic status and school quality were by nature higher because of the presence of higher income individuals and families.

The project found that the group that was relocated had an increased rate of employment and that the children of those that relocated had an increased percentage of high school graduation than those who did not.

MTO has been designed to further explore these findings, and established three classes of participants. A control group that received no housing assistance, a Section 8 comparison group, and a group which received special Section 8 vouchers usable only in areas with a poverty rate of less than 10%. Several cities were included in this experiment, thus eliminating any geographical bias to the results.

In all of these groups, the majority of subjects were African American. Less than 40% of total subjects were employed.

The study noted that most of the applicants had been, or had friends or relatives who had been, victims of crime and that this was their reason for applying to the program. Other reasons included the desire of better schools for children and for larger residences.

Because of these desires, it can be said that the group "self selected", in that those who expressed a desire to leave immediately took advantage of the program, making it difficult to study the effects of MTO on group dynamics and social networks.  

The study also noted that participants were widely dispersed once moved, pointing out that simply re-concentrating poverty in different areas would not solve any problems. It also detailed how not all of the families with the option to move to other areas did so.

Shroder's work then gives summaries of other studies done on the MTO program and attempts to make generalizations from those.

A study by Katz, Kling, and Liebman found that those who relocated felt safer, noticed less neighborhood drug use, had fewer domestic issues, and described themselves as increasingly healthy. This study did not examine poverty or employment.

A study by Ludwig, Duncan, and Pinkston found that those who had relocated were slightly less dependent on welfare than those who did not.

Finally, a study by Leventhal and Brooks-Gunn found that those who relocated had decreased instances of depression and anxiety, and that parenting skills had improved significantly.

Shroder notes that more studies will be needed to determine the effectiveness of the MTO program, but states that the initial research looks promising.

While MTO does seem at least initially to be successful, it comes at the price of disrupting the existing social networks between residents of public housing. Instead of moving low income residents out of a community, higher income residents should be moved in to under-occupied residences. These would allow existing social networks to be strengthened instead of being removed.

Lower income residents also have a stronger attachment to their residences than higher income individuals, as they have fewer options for replacement housing should they be forced to leave.

While Moving to Opportunity was successful at reducing individual poverty, it did little to help poor neighborhoods. This is something that needs to be examined closely, as strong neighborhoods are what allow social networks to develop and for information about job opportunities, educational opportunities, and political organization to be disseminated.

Revitalized Neighborhoods, Social Environments, and Education

A study by Claire Smrekar and Lydia Bentley focuses on the social environments of affordable and public housing as they relate to schools, with both HOPE VI and Section 8 programs being examined.

HOPE VI is the newest generation of public housing policy aimed at meshing public housing with local context. It consists of mixed income housing communities in an attempt to prevent concentrated poverty and to develop community resources, including schools. HOPE VI requires a detailed plan of improvements that will be made to schools adjacent to or within HOPE VI communities, and school performance is directly linked to economic development within a community.

Section 8, on the other hand, focuses only on the housing aspect of a community. The program provides vouchers to residents living in public housing so that they may choose their residence from any number of places with the voucher covering some or all of their rent.

Urban poverty is often seen as a cyclical problem in that poverty and crime are highly correlated, crime discourages investment, which further increases poverty within a neighborhood. The crime created by this can make public space unsafe and preclude the development of social networks, as I noted in my last post, a discussion of David Kennedy's Don't Shoot.

The research notes that the social environment of a community can have a large effect on parenting techniques, which, in turn, can have an extraordinarily large effect on a child's educational motivation. They relate this to the development of social capital within a neighborhood, and note that strong communities with civic organization, youth groups, and churches often contain strong social networks. These social networks serve as couriers of employment or educational opportunities, community news and gatherings, and information about community services.

The study notes that two similar programs, the Gautreaux Project in Chicago, and the Moving to Opportunity Program, on a national level, have tested this theory. The two programs had opposite results. When Gautreaux was implemented, it was shown that the quality of live for residents, especially that of children, improved. However, when Moving to Opportunity was put into place, significantly less quality of live improvement was shown, and almost no educational improvement in children was noticed.

The study examines the Section 8 community first, three out of eight parents who lived in the community noted that they were unemployed, and the average occupancy time was noted to be two years.

Residents noted that the move in process was smooth, but that maintenance services were often unresponsive (sometimes, to the point of enticing residents to move), and that crime was perceived as high. Interestingly, all residents noted that the areas of the community they lived in were safer, and that other parts of the community were the areas with the crime problem. Despite the fact that the physical size of the neighborhood was not excessive, a social gulf was perceived to exist between residents. Many residents thought that the nearby HOPE VI community was safer and quieter.

In the HOPE VI community all residents were employed, and the average occupancy time was noted to be three years. Employment is a condition for living in a HOPE VI community, as the study notes, as are education and a clean criminal record.

Residents of this community noted that there was a set of regulations put in place to prevent dependence and to insure community well being. These involved such things as inspections, removal from the community for nonpayment of utilities, and requiring residents to pay maintenance fees for tasks they could have accomplished themselves. 

The study notes that the HOPE VI community was more personal and empathetic throughout the housing application process and while connecting residents with social services.

The HOPE VI community was perceived by all margins as extremely safe, with all residents allowing children to play outside (some with supervision, however), and several residents being unafraid to go outdoors after dark. Many residents noted that the social network within the community was key to providing most of this safety.

While many residents of the HOPE VI community did not discuss development of close relations with neighbors, it was noted that the level of social interaction was significantly higher than in the Section 8 neighborhood, and community events were organized to promote this.

Overall, the study notes that HOPE VI communities have higher social networking potential over Section 8 communities, and that these social ties generated a stronger community which could work more effectively for the benefit of its residents. However, correlations between this community development and the strength of the nearby school were not directly measured, for undisclosed reasons.

A New Approach to Urban Crime Control

A recent book by David Kennedy titled Don't Shoot, One Man, a Street Fellowship, and The End of Violence in Inner City America puts a new face on the fight against urban drug and gun violence. In the book, Kennedy discusses his new approach for combating such violence, which he notes has been implemented in cities such as Boston, Cincinnati, Chicago, and Los Angeles. The approach to violent crime detailed in this book involves identifying a small group of worst offenders, arresting the worst of those, usually with Federal assistance, and then holding community dialogue with the rest and informing them that if they do not stop their acts of violence they will meet a similar fate.

Kennedy notes that when these methods, since given the name “Ceasefire”, were enacted, the type of crime targeted dropped noticeably and swiftly.

In addition, he notes that the presence of so much violent crime for so long has severely damaged urban neighborhoods, both economically and socially. Kennedy points out that none of the economic, social, or racial problems affecting these communities can be addressed until the crime that permeates them is controlled in a lasting manner. However, he does not give any indication of when a community might be ready to move on to those tasks.

The book points out that the structure of violent activity is the same from city to city, regardless of the size, number, or ethnic makeup of gangs. Kennedy details how the majority of violent activity can be directly traced to a small group of core gang members, the most violent of these members can be targeted with policing in cooperation with federal authorities, and the rest can then be targeted with community outreach. Kennedy describes how round-table meetings were held with local, state, and federal police, prosecutors, community activists, and gang members. In these meetings, authorities explained to the gang members the gravity of the charges that could be brought against them if their actions continued, which, he noted, many offenders were unaware of. Community organizers explained the damage that years of criminal activity and accidental killings of children have wrought on communities, and the fear it brings to parents. These meetings also offer support services, such as housing and job opportunities, to replace income from selling drugs or other criminal activities.

Kennedy notes that this approach has been implemented to target various crimes, from shootings to drug markets to domestic violence, in a large number of cities and has been extremely successful.

However, he also discusses the political turbulence associated with such implementation, noting that in some cities, political shifts or changes in police department personnel can cause the program to lapse and be discarded. Other times, city administrators can be hostile to outside ideas, and try to stonewall their progress or simply ignore them. Kennedy notes that this happened in Baltimore, but since the program has developed and become more widely implemented, it was adopted there as well.

Kennedy's book presents an original perspective on the issue of urban crime, and one which has immediate and significant impact. His book should prove to be pivotal in the fight against crime, and a starting point in rebuilding communities and making urban areas more attractive places to live.

Suburbanization and Public Health

This article is a summary of research by Dr. Howard Frumkin and published in Public Health Reports. Dr. Frumkin writes on connections between various aspects of suburban development and pollution, mental health, physical fitness, and preventable deaths due to automobile accidents.

The relationship between automobiles and air pollution is discussed first, and this research notes that there is a significant correlation between vehicle miles traveled and proportions of hydrocarbons, oxides, and nitrogen, as well as other greenhouse gasses, in urban atmosphere. It is also noted that due to weather conditions, air pollution does not remain in the immediate vicinity of roads, but can travel downwind of where it is released. The study notes that increased pollution can pose an increased risk to those with asthma, as well as the elderly and newborn.

This study also points out the connection between density and vehicle miles traveled, noting that the less dense a location is, the more driving that will take place and the more pollution that will be created.

The second topic discussed is that of deaths due to automobile crashes and poor accommodations of pedestrians. While it is noted that improvements in vehicle and infrastructure safety have decreased traffic fatalities in recent years, the study points out that typical suburban layouts are highly conducive to automobile traffic while being dangerous to pedestrians. This is due to lack of connected secondary roads and main arteries which can often be three or more lanes in each direction. Proper pedestrian amenities such as sidewalks and crossing lights are not likely to be present, although this is changing.

Again, a correlation is established between low density and traffic deaths, both in cases involving two or more automobiles and in cases involving automobiles and pedestrians.

The next topics discussed are those of land use, travel patterns, and physical activity. The study notes that dense land use is highly correlated with both walking and bicycling, while lower density is correlated with higher automobile use. Similarly, lower automobile use is correlated with higher physical activity, as denser environments increase connectivity and make methods of traveling such as walking and bicycling much more viable.

Access to water is also mentioned in the study, noting that less dense development will contribute highly to water pollution, as paved surfaces such as parking lots will prohibit water from entering the ground and the water table, and will instead force it to pick up pollutants as it runs to storm drains. In addition, this reduction in aquifer capacity will reduce available water for these areas.

The urban heat island is touched upon as well, noting that pavement and dark roofs absorb heat and locally increase temperatures. It is noted that this can lead to increases in cases of heat stroke, heat exhaustion, and other heat related conditions. These can have especially severe effects on the young, elderly, and disabled, who are not as mobile, as well as the impoverished, who may not have access to air conditioning.

Mental health is one of the most drastic aspects of suburbanization that the study goes on to discuss. It notes that increased commuting can lead to elevated stress levels and physical ailments. This can be manifested by “road rage”, in which motorists are inclined to commit violent or threatening acts against other motorists. This can lead to a generally more violent society, as not only does violence becomes an accepted way to deal with stress, but also commuting long distances by car can lead to social isolation.

Degradation of social capital is the last aspect of suburbanization discussed in this study, social capital is the idea that social networks can be used to achieve certain tangible goals, such as employment. The study notes that a correlation has been noticed between suburbanization and decreased social capital, manifested in lack of trust and increased family anguish. It mentions the primary cause of this to be the income segregation of suburban development, but also notes that time spent commuting is time spent away from friends and family and less time to give back to the community, either through PTA meetings, community service, or neighborhood events. Neighborhood design is a large factor in social isolation, as single use development set back from streets and with minimal sidewalk space deters the usage of outdoor space.

Urban Economic Development

The two works which inspired this post are The Economy of Cities by Jane Jacobs and “Alleviating the Financial Capital Barriers Impeding Business Development in Inner Cities”, A study by Timothy Bates.

In Jacobs' 1970 book, she not only lays out her theory that cities developed before agriculture, but also explains her theories for urban economic growth, the import-replacement effect, the export-multiplier effect, (which operate in tandem) and the addition of new work. In short, they state that as a city grows, its development of manufactured goods will allow it to produce domestically goods which it previously imported, and then add these goods to its exports to other cities. The principle of the addition of new work states that as these imports are converted to exports, ideas for new exports and new processes for making these new exports are derived, thus creating more economic opportunities.

However, the economic engine of cities (and of the United States as a whole) has changed radically since the 1960s. Commercial service has replaced industry as the driving economic force, and with the exception of highly specialized manufacturing (streetcars, airplanes, and medical equipment, for example), this is likely to remain the case. It also depends on the abilities of a city's educational system, for adding new work to old requires a constant supply of creativity, something that schools are increasingly unable to provide given standardized curricula and benchmarks based on standardized tests.

On the other hand, Bates' study focuses on the perils of inner city and minority run businesses, including access to start up capital through various means. Bates' study, however, does not discern small businesses from larger corporations that happen to be minority run or located in inner cities.

In his study, he focuses primarily on testing and debunking claims made by Michael Porter, such as urban areas representing untapped markets and logistical advantages present in inner cities.

Bates did not find that these claims held true, he also noted that a venture capital fund set up by Porter to test these theories was profitable due to its investments in ventures not located in inner cities, which balanced out investments in inner city firms.

However, Bates did find that there were substantial roadblocks to inner city firms who desired capital and credit, and his study examined efforts already in place to mitigate these as well as proposing new solutions.

One promising solution Bates examined was that of a firm called Medallion Funding, that would provide loans when given capital to back the loans up on (taxi medallions in New York City, or dry cleaning equipment for laundromats, for example). He states that this method holds promise, because it can both diversify and cater to smaller establishments, as it can recoup failed loans by selling off this capital.

To extend this into a firm that can provide start up capital for any type of small commercial businesses or boutique manufacturing company, a large organization would be required. This is so it can diversify its holdings and better absorb the failure of some companies it lends capital to, a reality in a market driven society. However, this organization would also need to be able to tailor itself to the needs of a specific city or even a specific neighborhood or district within a city.

Also, this organization would need a reliable source of capital to back the loans given out to urban businesses. One possibility is the building that the business is located in, which could be repossessed and sold off or re-leased for substantially more than the amount of the original loan.

Neighborhood Violence and Gated Communities

One thing that should be discussed in the wake of the Trayvon Martin shooting and the subsequent trial of George Zimmerman, and that should also enter the discourse given America's abnormally high gun crime rate, is the role of neighborhood design in public safety.



Trayvon Martin (an African American) was killed in a gated community by a man, George Zimmerman (Caucasian and Peruvian), who claimed only that he “looked suspicious”.



Discussion on the nature of this event has focused primarily on Martin's appearance, Zimmerman's actions and previous history with law enforcement, racial politics, and weapons usage. However, almost no attention was paid to the location of the crime.

The purpose of a gated community is to keep criminals out, an objective that is met with mixed results. A side effect of this is that anyone who is not immediately recognizable is viewed suspiciously and assumed to be undesirable. This is especially problematic with minorities, who are generally viewed as lower-income and predisposed to criminal behavior. This was the case with Trayvon. Zimmerman is believed to have asked him what his purpose for being in the neighborhood was after Trayvon asked Zimmerman why he was following him.

In addition to this, it is worth examining the typical resident of a gated community. Often, personal safety is their number one priority (hence the gates), and not necessarily solid community building. This same group is also a vigorous supporter of gun ownership. This is another important aspect of the Trayvon Martin shooting, local police urged George Zimmerman to procure a firearm several months prior to the shooting taking place.

Another aspect that comes into play is the weapons effect, which notes that the presence of weapons (usually firearms) can aid in rapidly accelerating violent scenarios, even if the weapons are not actually used in commission of those acts.



These circumstances can combine to create communities with unusually high senses of fear and paranoia, despite the illusion of safety offered by limited access to the community. This is evidenced by the fact that crime rates in gated communities are on par with crime rates in non-gated communities.

All of these factors combined can create a vicious cycle of violence. Criminal activity can incite senses of fear, which can lead residents of the community to procure weapons. The presence of these weapons can later lead to commission of more violent acts, which can then lead residents to buy more weapons. It seems that this is what happened in the case of Trayvon Martin.